5.136

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There is no causal nexus which justifies such an inference.

5.1361    The events of the future cannot be inferred from those of the present.

Superstition is the belief in the causal nexus.

5.1362    The freedom of the will consists in the fact that future actions cannot be known now. We could only know them if causality were an inner necessity, like that of logical deduction. - The connexion of knowledge and what is known is that of logical necessity.

("A knows that p is the case" is senseless if p is a tautology.)

5.1363    If from the fact that a proposition is obvious to us it does not follow that it is true, then obviousness is no justification for our belief in its truth.